Estimation Theory MCQs 2026

50 questions with detailed answers · 31 from past papers · 5 quiz batches available

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Page 1 of 1 Questions 110 of 50
  1. Q1 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    Point estimation assigns

    1. A a single numerical value as the estimate of a parameter
    2. B an interval of plausible values
    3. C a p-value only
    4. D a Type I error rate
    💡 Explanation:

    Point estimates summarize parameters by one number, e.g. x̄ for μ.

  2. Q2 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    Interval estimation provides

    1. A only a single statistic
    2. B only the null hypothesis
    3. C only the test statistic
    4. D a range of plausible values for a parameter with a stated confidence level
    💡 Explanation:

    Confidence intervals quantify uncertainty around point estimates.

  3. Q3 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    An estimator is unbiased if

    1. A it always equals the parameter in every sample
    2. B its variance is zero
    3. C it minimizes Type II error
    4. D its expected value equals the parameter: E(θ̂) = θ
    💡 Explanation:

    Unbiasedness holds on average over repeated sampling.

  4. Q4 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    The sample mean x̄ is an unbiased estimator of

    1. A the population variance σ²
    2. B the population median always
    3. C the population mean μ
    4. D the proportion π only
    💡 Explanation:

    E(x̄) = μ under SRS and related designs.

  5. Q5 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    The sample variance s² with divisor (n−1) is an unbiased estimator of

    1. A μ
    2. B σ²
    3. C σ
    4. D π
    💡 Explanation:

    Bessel correction (n−1) makes E(s²) = σ².

  6. Q6 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    Efficiency of an estimator compares

    1. A only bias
    2. B variances among unbiased estimators — smaller variance is more efficient
    3. C only consistency
    4. D only p-values
    💡 Explanation:

    Relative efficiency = Var(θ̂2)/Var(θ̂1).

  7. Q7 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    Consistency of an estimator means

    1. A E(θ̂) = θ for every n
    2. B Var(θ̂) is maximum
    3. C θ̂ equals θ for n = 2
    4. D θ̂ converges in probability to θ as sample size increases
    💡 Explanation:

    Consistent estimators approach the true parameter as n → ∞.

  8. Q8 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    A 95% confidence interval means that

    1. A the parameter lies in the interval with 95% probability in one realized sample (frequentist interpretation)
    2. B the method used would capture the true parameter in about 95% of repeated samples
    3. C 95% of data fall in the interval
    4. D Type I error is 0.95
    💡 Explanation:

    CI coverage is a property of the procedure, not a single interval.

  9. Q9 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    The margin of error for a large-sample CI for μ is approximately

    1. A z_{α/2} · σ/√n (or t_{α/2}·s/√n when σ unknown)
    2. B σ·n
    3. C z·σ²
    4. D √n only
    💡 Explanation:

    Half-width of CI equals critical value times SE.

  10. Q10 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    A wider confidence interval indicates

    1. A greater uncertainty about the parameter
    2. B a smaller standard error always
    3. C a larger sample size always
    4. D a smaller confidence level
    💡 Explanation:

    Larger critical value, larger SE, or smaller n widen CIs.

  11. Q11 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    Increasing confidence level from 90% to 99% while n and SE fixed

    1. A narrows the interval
    2. B leaves width unchanged
    3. C eliminates margin of error
    4. D widens the confidence interval
    💡 Explanation:

    Higher confidence requires a wider interval.

  12. Q12 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    For a large sample with known σ, a two-sided 95% CI for μ is

    1. A x̄ ± 1.96·σ/√n
    2. B x̄ ± 2.576·σ/√n
    3. C x̄ ± σ/n
    4. D x̄ ± 0.95·σ
    💡 Explanation:

    z_{0.025} = 1.96 for 95% confidence.

  13. Q13 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    When σ is unknown and n is small from a normal population, CI for μ uses

    1. A z_{α/2} only always
    2. B chi-square critical values
    3. C t_{α/2, n−1} · s/√n
    4. D F critical values
    💡 Explanation:

    t accounts for extra uncertainty in estimating σ.

  14. Q14 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    Degrees of freedom for one-sample t interval for μ equal

    1. A n
    2. B n − 1
    3. C n + 1
    4. D 2n
    💡 Explanation:

    One parameter (μ) estimated; σ replaced by s.

  15. Q15 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    A large-sample 95% CI for population proportion π is approximately

    1. A p̂ ± 1.96·√[p̂(1−p̂)/n]
    2. B p̂ ± σ/√n
    3. C p̂ ± t·s
    4. D π ± z·σ
    💡 Explanation:

    Normal approximation with estimated SE.

  16. Q16 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    Sample size for estimating μ with margin E and confidence 95% (σ known) satisfies

    1. A n = σ/E
    2. B n = z·E/σ
    3. C n ≥ (z_{α/2}·σ/E)²
    4. D n = E²/σ
    💡 Explanation:

    Solve SE·z = E for n.

  17. Q17 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    Sample size for proportion with planned margin E at 95% often uses conservative

    1. A n = E²
    2. B n ≥ (z_{α/2}/E)² · 0.25
    3. C n = π/E
    4. D n = 0.5/E
    💡 Explanation:

    p = 0.5 maximizes p(1−p), giving safe n.

  18. Q18 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    Maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) chooses θ̂ to

    1. A minimize bias only
    2. B maximize the likelihood (or log-likelihood) of the observed data
    3. C maximize Type I error
    4. D ignore the data
    💡 Explanation:

    MLE finds parameter values most consistent with observations.

  19. Q19 hard

    Method of moments equates

    1. A p-values to alpha
    2. B Type I and Type II errors
    3. C chi-square to F always
    4. D sample moments to theoretical moments to solve for parameters
    💡 Explanation:

    MM estimators solve μ̂k = E(X^k) equations.

  20. Q20 hard

    A sufficient statistic contains

    1. A no information about θ
    2. B only non-sampling error
    3. C all information in the sample relevant for estimating θ
    4. D only the p-value
    💡 Explanation:

    Sufficiency supports efficient estimation (Rao–Blackwell).

  21. Q21 hard

    The Cramér–Rao lower bound gives

    1. A a lower bound on variance of unbiased estimators under regularity conditions
    2. B the maximum bias
    3. C the p-value
    4. D the chi-square statistic
    💡 Explanation:

    No unbiased estimator can beat CR bound when it applies.

  22. Q22 hard

    Minimum variance unbiased estimator (MVUE) is

    1. A always biased
    2. B unbiased with smallest variance among all unbiased estimators
    3. C the sample median for μ always
    4. D the p-value
    💡 Explanation:

    MVUE achieves optimal precision among unbiased class.

  23. Q23 medium

    Robust estimators are

    1. A always unbiased for σ²
    2. B always identical to x̄
    3. C always maximum likelihood
    4. D relatively insensitive to departures from assumptions or outliers
    💡 Explanation:

    Median and trimmed mean are robust location estimators.

  24. Q24 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    The sample proportion p̂ is unbiased for

    1. A σ²
    2. B μ only
    3. C π
    4. D
    💡 Explanation:

    E(p̂) = π under SRS.

  25. Q25 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    Standard error measures

    1. A bias of the estimator
    2. B the standard deviation of the sampling distribution of an estimator
    3. C the confidence level
    4. D Type II error
    💡 Explanation:

    SE quantifies precision, not systematic error.

  26. Q26 medium

    A narrow CI with high confidence suggests

    1. A a large sample and/or small population variability
    2. B always a biased estimator
    3. C always non-probability sampling
    4. D zero sampling error
    💡 Explanation:

    Small SE (large n, small σ) yields precise intervals.

  27. Q27 medium

    One-sided confidence bound is used when

    1. A only an upper or lower limit is needed
    2. B always for proportions only
    3. C Type I error is zero
    4. D chi-square test is mandatory
    💡 Explanation:

    One-sided CI gives μ > L or μ < U at stated confidence.

  28. Q28 hard

    Pivotal quantity has distribution

    1. A always equal to zero
    2. B always chi-square with unknown df
    3. C independent of unknown parameters
    4. D always the estimator itself
    💡 Explanation:

    (x̄−μ)/(s/√n) is t with n−1 df — pivotal for μ.

  29. Q29 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS hard

    Confidence interval for difference μ1−μ2 (independent, equal σ, large n) is

    1. A x̄1 ± z·σ
    2. B p̂1−p̂2 only
    3. C (x̄1−x̄2) ± z_{α/2}·σ_pooled·√(1/n1+1/n2) or separate SE formula
    4. D χ² critical only
    💡 Explanation:

    Difference CI centers on x̄1−x̄2 with combined SE.

  30. Q30 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS hard

    Pooled variance estimate in two-sample t (equal variances) uses

    1. A s1² only
    2. B sp² = [(n1−1)s1² + (n2−1)s2²]/(n1+n2−2)
    3. C (s1+s2)/2
    4. D n1·s1²
    💡 Explanation:

    Pooled s combines within-group variation.

  31. Q31 hard

    Welch's t interval does not assume

    1. A independence
    2. B equal population variances
    3. C random sampling
    4. D normal populations for small n
    💡 Explanation:

    Welch uses separate variances and adjusted df.

  32. Q32 hard

    Bayesian credible interval differs from frequentist CI because it treats

    1. A the parameter as random with a posterior distribution
    2. B sample size as fixed forever
    3. C Type II error only
    4. D chi-square always
    💡 Explanation:

    Credible interval is a Bayesian posterior probability statement.

  33. Q33 medium

    A biased estimator can have

    1. A lower mean squared error than an unbiased estimator
    2. B always higher MSE
    3. C zero variance always
    4. D no practical use
    💡 Explanation:

    Bias–variance trade-off: MSE = Bias² + Variance.

  34. Q34 hard

    Asymptotic normality of MLE means

    1. A MLE is biased for all n
    2. B MLE fails CLT
    3. C MLE is approximately normal with variance reaching CR bound for large n
    4. D MLE requires n = 2
    💡 Explanation:

    Large-sample theory supports Wald CIs from MLE.

  35. Q35 hard

    Jackknife resampling estimates bias and variance by

    1. A bootstrapping clusters only
    2. B using chi-square tables
    3. C ignoring sample size
    4. D leaving out one observation at a time and recomputing the estimate
    💡 Explanation:

    Jackknife is a leave-one-out resampling method.

  36. Q36 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    A 99% CI for μ is wider than 90% CI for same data because

    1. A z_{0.005} = 2.576 > z_{0.05} = 1.645
    2. B SE is larger
    3. C x̄ changes
    4. D n decreases
    💡 Explanation:

    Higher confidence demands a larger critical multiplier.

  37. Q37 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    If a 95% CI for μ is (10, 20), a two-sided test of H0: μ = 15 at α = 0.05 would

    1. A fail to reject H0 because 15 lies inside the interval
    2. B reject H0
    3. C be undefined
    4. D use chi-square only
    💡 Explanation:

    CI–test duality: values inside CI are not rejected at corresponding α.

  38. Q38 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    Estimating σ from sample uses

    1. A Σ(xi−x̄)²/n always for unbiased σ
    2. B s = √[Σ(xi−x̄)²/(n−1)]
    3. C x̄ only
    4. D p̂(1−p̂)
    💡 Explanation:

    Unbiased σ² uses n−1 divisor.

  39. Q39 hard

    Standard error of median is generally

    1. A zero
    2. B equal to σ
    3. C larger than SE of mean for normal data (asymptotically √[π/2]·σ/√n)
    4. D smaller than mean SE for normal
    💡 Explanation:

    Mean is more efficient than median under normality.

  40. Q40 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    Interval width is inversely related to

    1. A n² always directly
    2. B confidence level decreasing
    3. C √n for fixed confidence and σ
    4. D population size always
    💡 Explanation:

    Quadrupling n halves CI width (SE ∝ 1/√n).

  41. Q41 hard

    Simultaneous confidence bands differ from single CI because they control

    1. A only one parameter always
    2. B family-wise error over multiple parameters or points
    3. C only Type II error
    4. D only df
    💡 Explanation:

    Joint coverage requires wider bands than pointwise CIs.

  42. Q42 hard

    A consistent but biased estimator may be acceptable when

    1. A n is fixed at 5
    2. B bias vanishes as n grows and variance is small
    3. C bias grows with n
    4. D efficiency is zero
    💡 Explanation:

    Asymptotic unbiasedness accompanies many consistent estimators.

  43. Q43 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    Estimate of standard error replaces unknown σ with s when

    1. A always in census
    2. B never in surveys
    3. C σ is unknown and sample is from the population
    4. D only for proportions
    💡 Explanation:

    s substitutes for σ in SE formulas.

  44. Q44 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    Confidence level 1−α means

    1. A α is coverage probability
    2. B α equals margin of error
    3. C α is sample size
    4. D α is the total tail probability split between two sides (two-sided)
    💡 Explanation:

    95% CI leaves α = 0.05 in tails combined.

  45. Q45 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    For paired data, CI for mean difference μd uses

    1. A separate CIs for each group only
    2. B z with n1+n2−2 always
    3. C chi-square on 2×2 table
    4. D d̄ ± t_{α/2, n−1}·sd/√n
    💡 Explanation:

    Paired t uses differences and n−1 df.

  46. Q46 hard

    Wilson score interval for π is preferred over Wald when

    1. A n is small or p̂ is near 0 or 1
    2. B n is extremely large only
    3. C σ is known
    4. D μ is estimated
    💡 Explanation:

    Wilson has better coverage than Wald p̂ ± z·SE.

  47. Q47 medium

    A point estimate of population total is

    1. A x̄ only without N
    2. B p̂ only
    3. C s²·N
    4. D N·x̄ under SRS if N is known
    💡 Explanation:

    Horvitz–Thompson or expansion estimator N·x̄ for totals.

  48. Q48 hard

    Relative efficiency of median to mean (normal population) is approximately

    1. A 1.0
    2. B 0.25
    3. C 2/π ≈ 0.64
    4. D π/2
    💡 Explanation:

    Var(median) ≈ (π/2)·σ²/n vs σ²/n for mean.

  49. Q49 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS medium

    An interval estimate failing to contain the true parameter in one sample

    1. A proves the estimator is inconsistent
    2. B means α = 0
    3. C implies Type II error
    4. D does not invalidate the 95% method — about 5% of intervals miss in the long run
    💡 Explanation:

    Single-interval miss is expected under frequentist coverage.

  50. Q50 Past Paper · PPSC/FPSC/CSS easy

    Larger s leads to

    1. A narrower CI always
    2. B unchanged CI
    3. C zero margin of error
    4. D wider t-based confidence interval for μ (other things equal)
    💡 Explanation:

    SE = s/√n increases with sample variability.